2026-09-12 · 3:30 PM ET · FS1
#45 Duke at #31 Illinois
Rabby line
Illinois -7.5
Projected score
Duke 24 – 31 Illinois
Rabby total
55
Market snapshot
Illinois -5.5
Win probability
Duke 33% · Illinois 67%
Market gap
2.1
MILD (2-3.9)
Statistical matchup
#45 Duke
1-0 · 0-0 ACC
PPG17.0 #102
PA/G3.0 #10
YPP4.90 #102
YPP Allowed4.60 #58
YPP Diff0.30 #88
TO margin0.00 #54
#31 Illinois
1-0 · 0-0 Big Ten
PPG42.0 #41
PA/G23.0 #93
YPP7.70 #30
YPP Allowed5.20 #76
YPP Diff2.50 #49
TO margin1.00 #30
These are current season core statistics, not direct game-model inputs by themselves. Rabby projections use the certified cardinal-strength architecture and opponent adjustment.