2026-09-12 · 7:30 PM ET · NBC
#51 Iowa State at #19 Iowa
Rabby line
Iowa -11.5
Projected score
Iowa State 17 – 28 Iowa
Rabby total
45
Market snapshot
Iowa -14.5
Win probability
Iowa State 25% · Iowa 75%
Market gap
3.0
MILD (2-3.9)
Statistical matchup
#51 Iowa State
1-0 · 0-0 Big 12
PPG38.0 #50
PA/G10.0 #38
YPP6.30 #58
YPP Allowed3.10 #19
YPP Diff3.20 #43
TO margin2.00 #11
#19 Iowa
1-0 · 0-0 Big Ten
PPG40.0 #48
PA/G0.0 #1
YPP6.50 #55
YPP Allowed2.20 #8
YPP Diff4.30 #21
TO margin1.00 #30
These are current season core statistics, not direct game-model inputs by themselves. Rabby projections use the certified cardinal-strength architecture and opponent adjustment.