2026-09-12 · 7:30 PM ET · ESPNU
#61 Navy at #109 Florida Atlantic
Rabby line
Navy -4.5
Projected score
Navy 34 – 30 Florida Atlantic
Rabby total
64
Market snapshot
Navy -4.5
Win probability
Navy 60% · Florida Atlantic 40%
Market gap
0.0
ALIGNED (<2)
Statistical matchup
#61 Navy
1-0 · 0-0 American
PPG42.0 #41
PA/G15.0 #66
YPP6.70 #49
YPP Allowed6.30 #106
YPP Diff0.40 #87
TO margin0.00 #54
#109 Florida Atlantic
0-1 · 0-0 American
PPG21.0 #92
PA/G66.0 #138
YPP4.40 #114
YPP Allowed9.30 #134
YPP Diff-4.90 #132
TO margin-2.00 #96
These are current season core statistics, not direct game-model inputs by themselves. Rabby projections use the certified cardinal-strength architecture and opponent adjustment.