2026-09-12 · 3:30 PM ET · The CW
#63 UTSA at #74 Texas State
Rabby line
Texas State -1.5
Projected score
UTSA 32 – 33 Texas State
Rabby total
65
Market snapshot
Texas State -1.5
Win probability
UTSA 46% · Texas State 54%
Market gap
0.1
ALIGNED (<2)
Statistical matchup
#63 UTSA
1-0 · 0-0 American
PPG45.0 #35
PA/G16.0 #69
YPP9.10 #9
YPP Allowed5.20 #76
YPP Diff3.90 #28
TO margin2.00 #11
#74 Texas State
0-1 · 0-0 Pac-12
PPG7.0 #129
PA/G59.0 #135
YPP5.00 #100
YPP Allowed7.40 #122
YPP Diff-2.40 #117
TO margin-2.00 #96
These are current season core statistics, not direct game-model inputs by themselves. Rabby projections use the certified cardinal-strength architecture and opponent adjustment.